The lottery is a fixture of American society, with people spending upwards of $100 billion on tickets every year. It’s a popular way for states to raise revenue, but is it worth the trade-off? The answer isn’t necessarily that simple.
The concept of determining fates or property rights by casting lots has a long history, spanning the Old Testament and ancient Rome. The modern state lottery is much more recent, though, starting with New Hampshire’s first one in 1964. Since then, there have been 43 state lotteries and more than 500 others in other countries. Today, a vast majority of American adults play the lottery at least once a year.
A key reason that lotteries have broad public support is their claim that proceeds benefit a specific public good, such as education. This argument is especially effective in times of economic stress, when the prospect of tax increases or cuts in public spending threatens people’s standard of living. But it also holds true during times of prosperity, as evidenced by the fact that state lotteries have enjoyed robust public approval even when the government’s actual fiscal conditions were strong.
In colonial America, lotteries were a common tool for financing private and public projects, including schools, churches, roads, canals, and even the formation of a militia to defend against French marauders. Benjamin Franklin ran a lottery in 1748 to help finance Boston’s Faneuil Hall, and George Washington used one to help fund the construction of a road across a mountain pass.
State lotteries are complex, and their operations are constantly evolving. They start with an initial period of rapid growth, during which revenue peaks and begins to level off, then decline. To maintain their popularity, lotteries introduce a variety of games to appeal to different audiences. Scratch-off tickets are particularly popular, as they offer lower prize amounts but higher probability of winning.
The purchase of a lottery ticket cannot be justified by decision models that assume expected value maximization. A lottery ticket costs more than it is likely to return in prizes, and someone who maximizes expected utility would not buy one. But the reality is that many people do buy tickets for entertainment value or because they believe in the fantasy of becoming rich.
People who play the lottery should take care not to spend more than they can afford to lose. In the event that they win, they must be prepared to pay huge taxes on their winnings and can often end up bankrupt within a few years. Instead, it might be more prudent to put the money into an emergency savings account or toward paying off debt. Khristopher J. Brooks is a reporter for CBS MoneyWatch who covers the U.S. housing market and the business of sports. He has previously worked for Newsday, the Omaha World-Herald, and the Florida Times-Union. He is a graduate of the University of Nebraska-Lincoln.